Publications

The scholarship of the HMR Lab contributes to the overall scholarship of the Department of Health Care Policy at Harvard Medical School

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2018

McWilliams JM, Hatfield LA, Landon BE, Hamed P, Chernew ME. Medicare Spending after 3 Years of the Medicare Shared Savings Program. Health Affairs, published online September 5, 2018.

McDowell A, Nguyen CA, Chernew ME, Tran KN, McWilliams JM, Landon BE, Landrum MB. Comparison of Approaches for Aggregating Quality Measures in Population-Based Payment. Health Services Research, 2018 Aug 2

Layton TJ, McGuire TG, van Kleef RC. Deriving Risk Adjustment Payment Weights to Maximize Efficiency of Health Insurance Markets. Journal of Health Economics, Jul 2018; 61:93-110.

Carroll C, Chernew ME, Fendrick AM, Thompson J, Rose S. Effects of Episode-Based Payment on Health Care Spending and Utilization: Evidence from Perinatal Care in Arkansas. Journal of Health Economics, Sept 2018; 61:47-62.

Chernew ME, Cooper Z, Larsen-Hallock E, Morton FS. Are Health Care Services Shoppable? Evidence from the Consumption of Lower-Limb MRI Scans. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 24869. July 2018.

Chernew ME, Frakt AB. The Inevitable Math behind Entitlement Reform. New England Journal of Medicine, 2018; 379(3):211-213.

Barnett ML, McWilliams JM. Changes in Specialty Care Use and Leakage in Medicare Accountable Care Organizations. American Journal of Managed Care, 2018; 24(5):e141-149.

Chernew ME, Landrum MB. Targeted Supplemental Data Collection – Addressing the Quality-Measurement Conundrum. New England Journal of Medicine, 2018; 378(11):979-81.

Glied S, McGuire TG. To Maintain Quality, Risk Adjustment is Essential, Even in Incentive-Compatible Contracts: A Response to Cannon. Health Affairs BLOG 2018; published online January 29, 2018.

Frakt AB, Chernew ME. The Importance of Relative Prices in Health Care Spending. Journal of the American Medical Association 2018; published online January 4, 2018.

 

2017

Layton TJ, Ellis RP, McGuire TG, van Kleef RC. Measuring Efficiency of Health Plan Payment Systems in Managed Competition Health Insurance Markets. Journal of Health Economics, Dec 2017;56:237-255.

McWilliams JM, Chernew ME, Landon BE. Medicare ACO Program Savings Not Tied to Preventable Hospitalizations of Concentrated Among High-Risk Patients. Health Affairs 2017; 36(12):2085–2093.

Roberts ET, Zaslavsky AM, McWilliams JM. The Value-Based Payment Modifier: Program Outcomes and Implications for Disparities. Annals of Internal Medicine 2017; published online Nov 28, 2017.

Douven R, Heijden Rvd, McGuire T, Shut FT. Premium Levels and Demand Response in Health Insurance: Relative Thinking and Zero-Price Effects. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 23846. September 2017.

Geruso M, Layton TJ, Prinz D. Screening in Contract Design: Evidence from the ACA Health Insurance Exchanges. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 22832. October 2017.

Geruso M, Layton TJ. Selection in Health Insurance Markets and its Policy Remedies. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2017:31(4):23-50.

McWilliams JM, Najafzadeh M, Shrank WH, Polinski JM. Association of Changes in Medication Use and Adherence in Accountable Care Organization Exposure in Patients with Cardiovascular Disease or Diabetes. JAMA Cardiology 2017; 2(9):1019-1023.

Sinaiko AD, Layton TJ, Rose S, McGuire TG. Implications of Family Risk Pooling for Individual Health Insurance Markets. Health Services Outcomes Research Methods, 2017; 17:219-236.

Gourevitch RA, Desai S, Hicks AL, Hatfield LA, Chernew ME, Mehrotra A. Who Uses a Price Transparency Tool? Implications for Increasing Consumer Engagement. Inquiry 2017; Published online May 19, 2017.

Layton T, Montz EJ, Shepard M. Health Plan Payment in U.S. Marketplaces: Regulated Competition with a Weak Mandate. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 23444. May 2017.

McWilliams JM. MACRA: Big Fix or Big Problem? Ideas and Opinions. Annals of Internal Medicine 2017; Published online May 2017.

Roberts ET, Mehrotra A, McWilliams JM. High-Price and Low-Price Physician Practices Do Not Differ Significantly on Care Quality or Efficiency. Health Affairs 2017; 36(5):855-864.

Layton TJ, McGuire TG. Marketplace Plan Payment Options for Dealing with High-Cost Enrollees. American Journal of Health Economics 2017; 3(2):165-191.

McWilliams JM, Schwartz AL. Focusing on High-Cost Patients — The Key to Addressing High Costs? Perspective. New England Journal of Medicine 2017; 376:807-809.

Neprash HT, Chernew ME, McWilliams JM. Little Evidence Exists To Support The Expectation That Providers Would Consolidate To Enter New Payment Models. Health Affairs 2017; 36(2):346-354.

McWilliams JM, Gilstrap LG, Stevenson DG, Chernew ME, Huskamp HA, Grabowski DC. Changes in Post-Acute Care in the Medicare Shared Savings Program. Journal of the American Medical Association Internal Medicine 2017. Published online February 13, 2017.

 

2016

Obermeyer Z, Cohn B, Wilson M, Jena AB, Cutler DM. Early death after discharge from emergency departments: analysis of national US insurance claims data. British Medical Journal 2016; 356:j239.

Roberts ET, Chernew ME, McWilliams JM. Market Share Matters: Evidence of Insurer and Provider Bargaining Over Prices. Health Affairs 2017; 36(1):141-148.

McWilliams JM. Cost Containment and the Tale of Care Coordination. Perspective. New England Journal of Medicine 2016; 375:2218-2220.

McWilliams JM. Savings from ACOs-Building on Early Success. Ideas and Opinions. Ann Intern Med 2016; 165(12):873-875.

Dean KM, Hatfield LA, Jena AB, Cristman D, Flair M, Kator K, Nudd G, Grabowski DC. Preliminary Data on a Care Coordination Program for Home Care Recipients. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 2016; 64(9):1900-3.

Geruso M, McGuire TG. Tradeoffs in the Design of Health Plan Payment Systems: Power, Fit and Balance. Journal of Health Economics 2016; 47:1-19.

Desai S, Hatfield LA, Hicks A, Chernew ME, Mehrotra A. Association between Availability of a Price Transparency Tool and Outpatient Spending. Journal of the American Medical Association 2016; 315(17):1874-1881.

McWilliams JM, Hatfield LA, Chernew ME, Landon BE, Schwartz AL. Early Performance of Accountable Care Organizations in Medicare. New England Journal of Medicine 2016; 374(24):2357-2366.

Beaulieu N, Chernew ME, Kristensen S, Rosenthal M. The Economics of Paying for Value. Health Affairs BLOG. March 15, 2016.

Rose S. A Machine Learning Framework for Plan Payment Risk Adjustment. Health Services Research 2016; 51(6):2358-2374.

Rose S, Zaslavsky A, McWilliams JM. Variation in Accountable Care Organization Spending And Sensitivity To Risk Adjustment: Implications For Benchmarking. Health Affairs 2016; 35(3):3440-448.

 

2014-2015

Schwartz AL, Chernew ME, Landon BE, McWilliams JM. Changes in Low-Value Services in Year 1 of the Medicare Pioneer Accountable Care Organization Program. Journal of the American Medical Association Internal Medicine 2015 Nov; 175(11):1815-25.

Layton TJ, Ellis RP, McGuire TG. Assessing Incentives for Adverse Selection in Health Plan Payment Systems. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 21531. September 2015.

McWilliams JM, Chernew ME, Landon BE, Schwartz A. Performance Differences in Year 1 of Pioneer Accountable Care Organizations. New England Journal of Medicine 2015; 372:1927-193.

McWilliams JM, Landon BE, Chernew ME, Zaslavsky A. Changes in Patients' Experiences in Medicare Accountable Care Organizations. New England Journal of Medicine 2014; 371:1715-1724

McWilliams JM. ACO Payment Models and the Path to Accountability. Journal of General Internal Medicine 2014; 29(10):1328-1330.

Chernew ME, McGuire T, McWilliams JM. Refining the ACO Program: Issues and Options. November 7, 2014. Healthcare Markets and Regulation Lab, Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School. Available here: http://hmrlab.hcp.med.harvard.edu/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Refining-the-ACO-Program-Issues-and-Options.pdf

Thompson JW, Golden W, Hill R, Fendrick AM, Mathis C, Chernew ME. The APII: A Six Part Periodic Blog Series. The Arkansas Payment Reform Laboratory. Health Affairs BLOG. March 18, 2014.